September 11, 2007

Senate Passes MilCon-VA and State-Foreign Operations

Update on SCHIP, Farm Bill and Higher Education Reconciliation 

 

BUDGET PROCESS STEP-BY-STEP™

Tuesday 9/4:

Senate voted 69-24 to confirm former House Budget Committee Chairman Jim Nussle as OMB Director

Thursday 9/6:

Senate voted 92-1 to pass MilCon-VA Appropriations (H.R. 2642)

Senate voted 81-12 to pass State-Foreign Operations Appropriations (H.R. 2764)

Friday 9/7:

House and Senate approved Higher Education Conference Report (H.R. 2669)

Monday 9/10:

Gen. David Petraeus testified before Congress on the progress of the surge and the Iraq war. Petraeus reported that while progress has been “uneven,” he hopes to reduce troop numbers to the “pre-surge level... by mid July 2008.”

Senate began consideration of FY 2008 Transportation-HUD Appropriations. Senate Majority Leader Reid hopes to pass the bill before the September 12 recess for Rosh Hashana.

Wednesday 9/12:

Senate Appropriations Committee Markup of FY 2008 Defense Appropriations

September 30:

SCHIP and “Farm Bill” authorizations expire

October 1:

Fiscal Year 2008 Begins (Enactment of all 12 appropriations bills or a continuing resolution will be required to avoid shutdown of Federal departments and agencies.)

APPROPRIATIONS UPDATE: SENATE PASSES MILCON-VA; STATE-FOREIGN OPs

Military Construction-VA Appropriations : H.R. 2642 . On September 6, the Senate passed the FY 2008 MilCon-VA bill by a vote of 92-1. The measure would appropriate $64.8 billion, which is $4.1 billion over the President's request. Despite the higher spending level, the White House has not threatened to veto the bill (unlike the veto threats facing 9 of 12 appropriations bills).

VA would get $3.6 billion more than the President requested and Military Construction would receive $600 million more than the President's request.

The measure would provide $37.2 billion for the Veterans Health Administration, an increase of $4.5 billion over FY 2007.

The bill also includes $100 million in “emergency” security funding for the 2008 political conventions in St. Paul and Denver. (Context: The emergency designation exempts the funding from the spending constraints set by the Congressional Budget Resolution.)

Committee Release
Statement of Administration Policy
Byrd Statement

State-Foreign Operations Appropriations : H.R. 2764 . On September 6, the Senate passed the FY 2008 State-Foreign-Operations Appropriations bill by a vote of 81-12 . The bill would appropriate $34.4 billion, $ 700 million below the President's request. Despite coming in below the President's request, the White House has threatened to veto over language overturning a policy that bars U.S. funding of any international organization that performs abortions overseas.

The biggest reductions from the President's request are in funding for the Millennium Challenge Corporation. The MCC (a fund that awards bilateral aid on a competitive basis to countries that have instituted economic and political reforms) would receive $1.2 billion ( $1.8 billion below the President's request and $352.3 million below FY 2007). Stated reason: MCC has not yet obligated $2.1 billion of funds available from previous years.

The Department of State would receive $10.7 billion for its operations in 2008, a $1 billion increase over FY 2007 and $40 million below the President's request . Funding for international peacekeeping received a significant boost, with the bill including $1.35 billion ($245 million over the President's request and $216 million over FY 2007).

Bilateral economic assistance would total $17.3 billion ( $516 million below the President's request ) with HIV/AIDS programs receiving the biggest increases.

Committee Release
Statement of Administration Policy
Leahy Statement

The Big Picture on Appropriations : Most major legislation faces Presidential veto threats . The President has threatened to veto 9 of 12 appropriations measures because they exceed his budget requests. The Administration wants to limit total discretionary spending for FY 2008 to $933 billion; Congress' FY 2008 Budget allocated an additional $22 billion for discretionary funding. The Administration also objects to the Appropriators' shift of $1.7 billion from defense to non-defense spending.

The Federal government hasn't faced a funding deadlock of this magnitude since 1995, when an impasse between then President Clinton and the Republican-led Congress over proposed cuts in Medicare, Medicaid, education and environment programs led to a Federal Government shut down.

Veto Threats: (For more details and daily updates, see WBR: Appropriations Table)

Agriculture-Rural Development-FDA
Commerce-Justice-Science
Energy-Water
Financial Services
Homeland Security
Interior-Environment
Labor-Health and Human Services-Education
State-Foreign Ops
Transportation-HUD

UPDATE: HIGHER ED, FARM BILL, SCHIP

Higher Education Reconciliation Conf. Report approved:

Update: On September 7, Congress approved the Higher Education Reconciliation conference report (H.R. 2669), with the House voting 292-97 and the Senate 79-12 . The bill would:

  • Cut subsidies to student lenders by $21.8 billion over 5 years.
  • Provide an additional $11.4 billion for Pell Grants, increasing maximum Pell Grant by $490 to $4,800 by 2010. The maximum would increase again to $5,400 over FY 2012-2013.
  • Halve the Stafford Loan Interest Rate, a House provision originally absent from the Senate version. By 2011, the interest rate would decrease from 6.8% to 3.4% and then return to 6.8% in 2012.

According to Chairman Miller, although the President threatened to veto the House bill earlier he will sign the conference report. Republicans have criticized the bill for additional spending and creating new mandatory spending programs.

CBO Cost Estimate
Kennedy Statement
Greggs Statement

Farm Bill:

Update: Chairman Harkin has circulated a draft farm bill to members of the Agriculture Committee. Earlier in the year, Harkin called for restricting the size of subsidies. However, a leaked draft does not include subsidy reductions, instead continuing direct payments at current levels. The draft also includes language to ensure loan rates do not change more than 1% per year.

Context: The "Farm Bill," renewed every 5 to 6 years, governs the key aspects of Federal farm policy. Many provisions of the current Farm Bill, enacted in 2002, will expire this year. The 2002 bill covers a wide range of programs. Those with the greatest budget impact are (1) Food Stamps; (2) Commodity Support programs (government subsidies to producers of certain farm commodities--primarily corn, cotton, wheat, rice, and soybeans--intended to stabilize farm income); (3) Agricultural Conservation programs (payments and incentives addressing environmental concerns, soil erosion and water supplies);and (4) Export Programs.

The starting point, or "baseline" for consideration of the Farm Bill projects what farm spending would be if there was a simple extension of current policies (i.e., policies set forth in the 2002 Farm Bill). The following table (source: CRS) shows Farm Bill actual spending over FY'02-'07, and the CBO (March 2007) baseline for the next 6 years:

6-year periods

Food Stamps

Commodity

Support

Conservation

Programs

Export

Programs

TOTAL

Actual Spending

FY'02 – ‘07

$178 billion

$73 billion

$18 billion

$1.6 billion

$271 billion

Baseline

FY'08 – ‘13

$226 billion

$42 billion

$26 billion

$2 billion

$297 billion

The baseline spending levels reflect an increase in Food Stamps (which will grow automatically as the number of eligible beneficiaries increases and the price of food increases) and a reduction in commodity support due to the relatively high prices in current commodity markets.

Congress' FY 2008 Budget Resolution allows for enactment of a new Farm Bill at baseline spending levels, plus an additional $20 billion-- but only if the $20 billion is deficit neutral (that is, fully offset by new taxes or mandatory spending cuts).

H.R. 2419, passed by the House on July 27, would reform Food Stamp benefit rules to improve coverage of food costs and expand access; give farmers participating in the commodity programs a choice between traditional price supports and "market-oriented revenue coverage payments;" ensure that people making more than $1 million/year cannot collect conservation or commodity payments; and increase spending on conservation programs. The Administration has threatened to veto HR 2419 due to expansion of Davis-Bacon wage requirements, as well as objections to the spending reductions and taxes used to offset new spending above the baseline.

Committee Release
CBO Estimate

SCHIP (State Children's Health Insurance Program) Reauthorization/Expansion:

Update : Senate and House staff are pre-conferencing the House- and Senate-passed bills. The President has threatened to veto both versions.

Context: SCHIP was established in 1997 and provides health coverage to children in families whose incomes are low, but somewhat higher than Medicaid's very tight income eligibility limits. The program is due to expire on September 30, and program expansion has been a major legislative goal of congressional Democrats. Baseline spending on SCHIP is currently $5 billion per year and the President's budget included a 5-year $5 billion expansion of the program. The FY 2008 Budget Resolution would allow expansion of the program by $50 billion over 5 years to cover more children who are eligible but not currently enrolled through a so-called "reserve fund." However, the additional spending must be fully offset with entitlement spending cuts or tax increases .

On August 1, the House passed H.R. 3162, the Children's Health and Medicare Protection Act (CHAMP), by a vote of 225-204 . The bill would expand SCHIP by $47 billion over 5 years , as well as reverse scheduled reductions in Medicare physician payment rates over the next two years. CBO estimates the bill would add 5 million uninsured children to the current 6 million currently covered by SCHIP. The cost of the bill would be offset by a 45 cents per pack increase in the Federal cigarette tax, a reduction in payments to private sector Medicare Advantage (managed care) plans, and a new fee on private health insurance plans.

CHAMP Act Fact Sheet
CBO Cost Estimate, Updated August 24

On August 2, the Senate passed its SCHIP reauthorization/expansion by a vote of 68-31 the bill number, S. 1893, became H.R. 976 to comply with the requirement that revenue measures originate in the House). The Senate bill would expand SCHIP by $35 billion over 5 years, covering an additional 3.2 million children. The Senate would pay for the SCHIP expansion by increasing the Federal cigarette tax to $1 per pack (a 61-cents per pack increase).

The Administration has threatened to veto both bills due to opposition to the tobacco tax increase, expanding the SCHIP program, and the House proposal to offset expansion by cutting subsidies to Medicare Advantage (the Medicare private managed care alternative).

House Veto Threat
Senate Veto Threat

BUDGET DOCS

CBO: The Budget and Economic Outlook, An Update

CBO: Trends in Public Spending on Transportation and Water Infrastructure, 1956 to 2004

CBO: Assessing Pay and Benefits for Military Personnel

GAO: Securing, Stabilizing and Rebuilding Iraq: Iraqi Government Has Not Met Most Legislative, Security and Economic Benchmarks

GAO: Military Base Realignments and Closures: Observations Related to the 2005 Round

GAO: Railroad Bridges and Tunnels: Federal Role in Providing Safety Oversight and Freight Infrastructure Investment Could Be Better Targeted

GAO: Gulf Coast Rebuilding: Observations on Federal Financial Implications

     Charles S. Konigsberg, President | (202) 587-2984 (ph) | (202) 587-2983 (fax) | ckonigsberg@federalbudgetgroup.com
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